Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Nagyerdei Stadion
Debrecen1 - 3MTK
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Debrecen and MTK.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Debrecen 4-1 Varda SE
Monday, August 21 at 7.15pm in Hungarian NB I
Monday, August 21 at 7.15pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: MTK 1-0 Kecskemeti TE
Saturday, August 19 at 4.45pm in Hungarian NB I
Saturday, August 19 at 4.45pm in Hungarian NB I
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Debrecen had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Debrecen win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MTK would win this match.
Result | ||
Debrecen | Draw | MTK |
34.66% ( -0.34) | 25.55% ( 0.04) | 39.78% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 55.57% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.63% ( -0.24) | 48.36% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.49% ( -0.22) | 70.5% ( 0.22) |
Debrecen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.14% ( -0.32) | 26.86% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.83% ( -0.42) | 62.17% ( 0.41) |
MTK Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.98% ( 0.04) | 24.02% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.72% ( 0.06) | 58.28% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Debrecen 34.67%
MTK 39.78%
Draw 25.54%
Debrecen | Draw | MTK |
1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 34.67% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.78% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ferencvaros | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 73 | 27 | 46 | 68 |
2 | Paksi SE | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 53 |
3 | FehervarFehervar | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
4 | Puskas AcademyPuskas Academy | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 46 |
5 | Debrecen | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 45 |
6 | MTK | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 43 |
7 | Diosgyor | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 41 |
8 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 39 |
9 | Kecskemeti TE | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 38 |
10 | UjpestUjpest | 30 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 38 | 62 | -24 | 34 |
11 | Varda SE | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 28 |
12 | Mezokovesd-ZsoryMezokovesdi | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 26 | 56 | -30 | 20 |
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