Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Adelaide United |
50.09% ( 1.17) | 21.73% ( 0.11) | 28.17% ( -1.27) |
Both teams to score 66.04% ( -1.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.72% ( -1.43) | 33.28% ( 1.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.95% ( -1.66) | 55.04% ( 1.66) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.27% ( -0.14) | 13.73% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.01% ( -0.28) | 40.99% ( 0.29) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.55% ( -1.5) | 23.45% ( 1.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.54% ( -2.22) | 57.45% ( 2.23) |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.87% Total : 50.09% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.43% Total : 21.73% | 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.93% Total : 28.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
4 | Macarthur | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
6 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
7 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
8 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
10 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 0 |
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