Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.26%) and 0-2 (5.38%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
35.91% ( -0.29) | 22.93% ( 0.14) | 41.16% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 65.39% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.3% ( -0.75) | 35.7% ( 0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.24% ( -0.83) | 57.76% ( 0.82) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.68% ( -0.48) | 20.32% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.3% ( -0.77) | 52.69% ( 0.76) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.06% ( -0.25) | 17.93% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.25% ( -0.43) | 48.75% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.91% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.92% Total : 41.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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