Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.