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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 18
Dec 15, 2020 at 7pm UK
Brunton Park
Mansfield Town

Carlisle
1 - 0
Mansfield

Patrick (39')
Hayden (26'), Bennett (65'), Mellish (68'), Farman (69'), Riley (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Clarke (64')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Mansfield Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawMansfield Town
43.11%27.3%29.59%
Both teams to score 48.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.13%56.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.21%77.79%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86%26.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.79%61.21%
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.42%34.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.7%71.29%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 43.1%
    Mansfield Town 29.59%
    Draw 27.29%
Carlisle UnitedDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 12.12%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 8.14%
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-0 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 43.1%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 9.04%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 9.6%
1-2 @ 6.84%
0-2 @ 5.1%
1-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 29.59%

Head to Head
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 31
Mansfield
2-2
Carlisle
Maynard (58', 72')
Watt (81'), Kayode (93')
Thomas (62'), Watt (83')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 3
Carlisle
0-2
Mansfield

Webster (79')
Rose (29'), Maynard (45')
Sweeney (67'), White (79'), Tomlinson (88')
Jan 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 27
Carlisle
3-2
Mansfield
Sowerby (4'), Hope (26', 79')
Etuhu (39'), Grainger (45')
Preston (77'), Walker (86')
Preston (40'), Bishop (45')
Bishop (45')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 6
Mansfield
1-0
Carlisle
Walker (55' pen.)
Hamilton (93')
Jan 1, 2018 3pm
Mansfield
3-1
Carlisle
Hemmings (9', 75'), Bennett (31')
Angol (51'), White (90')
Devitt (67' pen.)
O'Sullivan (85'), Bennett (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.15am
Texans
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Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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