Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 64.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 14.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.45%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.