Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finn Harps win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Waterford United had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finn Harps win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Waterford United win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.