Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 46.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 26.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Osasuna |
46.84% ( 0.04) | 26.84% ( -0.01) | 26.31% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.57% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.17% ( 0.02) | 56.84% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.24% ( 0.02) | 77.76% ( -0.02) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.74% ( 0.03) | 24.27% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.37% ( 0.04) | 58.63% ( -0.04) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.81% ( -0.02) | 37.19% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.02% ( -0.02) | 73.98% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 46.84% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 26.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |