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La Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 18, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Girona logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 2
Girona

Isi (23'), Trejo (34')
Catena (7'), Hernandez (18')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Tsygankov (29', 52')
Martinez (37'), Lopez (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, March 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 0-1 Atletico
Monday, March 13 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Girona

Rayo are certainly due a victory, having gone five matches without a success in Spain's top flight, and we are backing that success to arrive this weekend. Girona have lost seven of their 12 away league games this term and that could become eight defeats from 13 on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Girona had a probability of 25.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawGirona
48.79% (0.112 0.11) 25.83% (-0.07 -0.07) 25.38% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.71% (0.177 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.33% (0.247 0.25)53.67% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84% (0.207 0.21)75.16% (-0.203 -0.2)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (0.154 0.15)22.02% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.66% (0.229 0.23)55.34% (-0.225 -0.23)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.75% (0.103 0.1)36.25% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.96% (0.102 0.1)73.04% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 48.79%
    Girona 25.39%
    Draw 25.82%
Rayo VallecanoDrawGirona
1-0 @ 12.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.14% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.68% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.61% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 48.79%
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 25.39%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Girona

Rayo Vallecano
65.5%
Draw
27.6%
Girona
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 4pm
Girona
2-2
Rayo Vallecano
Castellanos (34' pen.), Saiz (75' pen.)
Martinez (13')
Camello (2'), Isi (62')
Jan 15, 2022 5.30pm
Round of 16
Girona
1-2
Rayo Vallecano
Espinosa (26')
Juanpe (18'), Martinez (79'), Moreno (90+7')
Martinez (90+8')
Guardiola (45+1', 48')
Suarez (26'), Catena (26'), Valentin (69'), Isi (90+4'), Comesana (90+6'), Trejo (90+7')
Jun 20, 2021 8pm
Girona
0-2
Rayo Vallecano

Joel Barcenas (31'), Juanpe (85')
Garcia (7'), Trejo (45+1')
Velazquez (40'), Trejo (76'), Catena (90+6')
Velazquez (56')
Jun 13, 2021 8pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Girona
Isi (6')
Trejo (52'), Bebe (90+8')
Franquesa (41'), Sylla (46')
Saiz (45+3'), Cristoforo (60'), Carlos (69'), Martinez (77')
Apr 10, 2021 5.15pm
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Girona
Comesana (38'), Isi (75')
Comesana (16'), Trejo (24'), Saveljich (35'), Advincula (78')
Bueno (36')
Couto (48'), Stuani (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2GironaGirona33225669402971
3Barcelona32217464372770
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia32138113534147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe331013104145-443
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12Sevilla33911134246-438
13AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514


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