Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Girona had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Valencia |
35.4% ( 0.05) | 27.68% ( 0.33) | 36.92% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 48.76% ( -1.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.94% ( -1.27) | 57.05% ( 1.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.06% ( -1.03) | 77.94% ( 1.03) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.36% ( -0.6) | 30.64% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.11% ( -0.72) | 66.89% ( 0.72) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.3% ( -0.85) | 29.7% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.24% ( -1.05) | 65.76% ( 1.05) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.24% Total : 35.4% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |