Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal El Molinón
Sporting Gijon0 - 4Valencia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Sporting Gijon
Saturday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Saturday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Valencia (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, January 11 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Wednesday, January 11 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
We said: Sporting Gijon 1-2 Valencia
Having managed to overcome Rayo Vallecano in the previous round, Sporting Gijon will have every confidence that they can cause another upset. However, we are backing Valencia to bounce back from their recent poor form to give their campaign the injection of encouragement that it requires. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Valencia |
35.47% ( 0.7) | 26.93% ( -0.2) | 37.6% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 51.1% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
