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La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 26, 2023 at 1pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Girona logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 3
Girona

Berchiche (35'), Garcia (89')
de Marcos (14'), Alvarez (45'), Garcia (78'), Valverde (78'), Muniain (85'), Paredes (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Garcia (4'), de Marcos (19' og.), Vesga (45+1' og.)
Castellanos (16'), Bueno (28'), Martinez (36'), Romeu (72'), Gazzaniga (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 6-2 Almeria
Friday, February 17 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Girona

Girona deserve a lot of respect for their performance level in La Liga this season, but we are finding it difficult to back the visitors to pick up a positive result here. Michel's team are not strong travellers, while Athletic have been impressive at home this season, so we are backing a victory for Valverde's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 63.78%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Girona had a probability of 14.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawGirona
63.78% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 22.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 14.19% (0.025 0.03)
Both teams to score 43.29% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.05% (0.023999999999994 0.02)52.95% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.45% (0.02 0.02)74.55% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.98% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)16.02% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.65% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)45.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.54% (0.052999999999997 0.05)48.45% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.44% (0.038 0.04)83.56% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 63.77%
    Girona 14.19%
    Draw 22.02%
Athletic BilbaoDrawGirona
1-0 @ 14.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 13.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 7.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.64% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.97%
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 63.77%
1-1 @ 10.29%
0-0 @ 7.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.02%
0-1 @ 5.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.73% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 0.9% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 14.19%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Girona

Athletic Bilbao
86.5%
Draw
7.9%
Girona
5.6%
89
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2022 8pm
Mar 29, 2019 8pm
Girona
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Stuani (37')
Juanpe (72'), Portu (80')
Williams (53'), Garcia (59')
Capa (39'), Garcia (63'), Martinez (80'), Etxebarria (84')
Dec 10, 2018 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Girona
Aduriz (90' pen.)
Etxebarria (55'), Nunez (78'), Capa (81')

Juanpe (83')
Feb 4, 2018 5.30pm
Girona
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Stuani (7' pen., 65')
Maffeo (46')

Nunez (58')
Sep 10, 2017 3.15pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Girona
Muniain (25'), Aduriz (53')
Benat (21'), Garcia (64'), San Jose (68'), Laporte (91')

Alcala (24'), Granell (27'), Espinosa (40'), Aday (56'), Luiz (80'), Stuani (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid36296183226193
2Barcelona35237572432976
3GironaGirona36236775453075
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad351412948371154
8Villarreal36149136060051
9Valencia35139133739-248
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves36119163445-1142
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna36118174054-1441
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca36715142941-1236
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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