Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 63.78%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Girona had a probability of 14.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Girona |
63.78% ( -0.03) | 22.03% ( 0.01) | 14.19% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 43.29% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.05% ( 0.02) | 52.95% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.45% ( 0.02) | 74.55% ( -0.02) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.98% ( -0) | 16.02% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.65% ( -0.01) | 45.35% ( 0) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.54% ( 0.05) | 48.45% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.44% ( 0.04) | 83.56% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 14.21% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 13.01% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.97% 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 63.77% | 1-1 @ 10.29% 0-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.02% | 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 14.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |