Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Girona had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
35.07% ( 0.16) | 27.64% ( 0.06) | 37.3% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 48.87% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.1% ( -0.23) | 56.9% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.18% ( -0.18) | 77.82% ( 0.19) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.22% ( -0.01) | 30.78% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.95% ( -0.01) | 67.05% ( 0.02) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.6% ( -0.24) | 29.4% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.61% ( -0.3) | 65.39% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.07% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |