MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 11:10:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Almeria
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Cadiz logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Granada logo
Las Palmas
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
La Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Atletico Madrid logo

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 2
Atletico

Garcia (85')
Lejeune (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Molina (22'), Hermoso (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, April 3 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Betis
Sunday, April 2 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Atletico's recent form has been excellent, and it would be fair to say that confidence in the camp is very high. Rayo are not losing many games at the moment, but Atletico's results over the last few months are difficult to ignore, and we are predicting a narrow away success in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawAtletico Madrid
27.76% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 27.69% (0.169 0.17) 44.55% (-0.183 -0.18)
Both teams to score 46.22% (-0.454 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.94% (-0.582 -0.58)59.05% (0.582 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.49% (-0.454 -0.45)79.51% (0.45399999999999 0.45)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.8% (-0.307 -0.31)37.2% (0.308 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.01% (-0.303 -0.3)73.98% (0.303 0.3)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (-0.36099999999999 -0.36)26.4% (0.362 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (-0.483 -0.48)61.56% (0.483 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 27.76%
    Atletico Madrid 44.54%
    Draw 27.69%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.71% (0.132 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.4% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.8% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 27.76%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.82% (0.214 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.065 -0.06)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 13.07% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 8.71% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.87% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.54%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico

Rayo Vallecano
9.0%
Draw
10.1%
Atletico Madrid
80.9%
89
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 8pm
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Atletico

Suarez (30'), Comesana (42'), Trejo (65')
Koke (49')
Lodi (20'), Kondogbia (74'), Koke (78'), Oblak (81'), Savic (85')
Correa (85')
Jan 2, 2022 3.15pm
Atletico
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Correa (28', 53')
Simeone (7'), Suarez (26'), Gimenez (63'), De Paul (73')
Feb 16, 2019 3.15pm
Aug 25, 2018 7.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2Barcelona35237572432976
3GironaGirona35236675443175
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad351412948371154
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!