There have been seven draws in the last 10 La Liga meetings between these two sides, and we are struggling to separate them in this match. Osasuna have only lost four times away from home this season, drawing six, while Mallorca have lost just four league games in front of their own fans, so we have had to settle on a stalemate.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
