Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Real Madrid |
19.53% ( -0.07) | 21.92% ( -0.05) | 58.55% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 54.45% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.29% ( 0.13) | 43.71% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.9% ( 0.13) | 66.1% ( -0.13) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.77% | 36.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.99% | 73.01% |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.39% ( 0.08) | 14.61% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.28% ( 0.16) | 42.72% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Real Madrid |
1-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 19.53% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.91% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.79% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.37% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 58.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |