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La Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Osauna logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 0
Osasuna

FT

Budimir (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gimnastic 1-2 Osasuna
Thursday, January 5 at 3pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Osasuna

Osasuna are more than capable of making this a tricky match for Athletic, and we are expecting a close game on Monday night. The Basque outfit have been strong at home this season, though, picking up 16 points from eight matches, and we are backing them to secure a vital three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
53.29% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 25.54% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 21.17% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 45.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.78% (0.053999999999995 0.05)56.21% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.73% (0.044 0.04)77.26% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86% (0.060999999999993 0.06)21.14% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.01% (0.097999999999999 0.1)53.98% (-0.1 -0.1)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.31% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)41.69% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.83% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)78.17% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 53.28%
    Osasuna 21.17%
    Draw 25.54%
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 13.69%
2-0 @ 10.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.51% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 53.28%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.81% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 21.17%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna

Athletic Bilbao
76.1%
Draw
15.9%
Osasuna
8.0%
138
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Jan 3, 2022 8pm
Osasuna
1-3
Athletic Bilbao
Kike (10')
Angel (66'), Arrasate (67'), Torro (76'), Herrera (78'), Avila (90+2')
Avila (90+4')
Sancet (16', 25', 68')
Alvarez (66'), Martinez (90+4')
May 8, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Osasuna
Morcillo (1'), Sancet (62')
Vencedor (50'), Marcelino (71')
Brasanac (12'), Budimir (89')
Torro (26'), Brasanac (90+2')
Oct 24, 2020 5.30pm
Osasuna
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Garcia (81' pen.)
Garcia (16'), Arrasate Elustondo (45'), Sanjurjo (54'), Vidal (63')
Arrasate Elustondo (78')

Alvarez (24'), Garcia (26')
Feb 16, 2020 5.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Osasuna

Vencedor (27'), San Jose (33'), Martinez (77'), Aduriz (80')
Sanjurjo (29')
Roncaglia (38'), Sanjurjo (39'), Gallego (48'), Brasanac (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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