MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 19:37:13| >> :600:100377:100377:
Feyenoord
Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
Shakhtar Donetsk

Feyenoord
7 - 1
Shakhtar

Gimenez (9'), Kokcu (24', 38' pen.), Idrissi (49', 60'), Jahanbakhsh (64'), Danilo (66')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Kelsy (87')
Bondarenko (20'), Sudakov (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Feyenoord and Shakhtar Donetsk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 0-3 Shakhtar
Sunday, March 12 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League

We said: Feyenoord 2-0 Shakhtar Donetsk

If the first leg is anything to go by, Feyenoord should produce another dominant performance against Shakhtar Donetsk, with the Dutch side expected to reach the quarter-finals in front of the De Kuip faithful. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 55.7%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 22.68% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
FeyenoordDrawShakhtar Donetsk
55.7% (0.901 0.9) 21.61% (0.492 0.49) 22.68% (-1.402 -1.4)
Both teams to score 60.39% (-3.688 -3.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.88% (-4.03 -4.03)38.11% (4.021 4.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.61% (-4.424 -4.42)60.38% (4.415 4.42)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.36% (-1.074 -1.07)13.64% (1.065 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.19% (-2.175 -2.18)40.81% (2.166 2.17)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.93% (-3.366 -3.37)30.07% (3.357 3.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.8% (-4.235 -4.24)66.2% (4.226 4.23)
Score Analysis
    Feyenoord 55.7%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 22.68%
    Draw 21.61%
FeyenoordDrawShakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.249 0.25)
1-0 @ 8.17% (1.206 1.21)
2-0 @ 8.14% (0.918 0.92)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.41% (0.414 0.41)
3-2 @ 3.9% (-0.446 -0.45)
4-1 @ 3.24% (-0.181 -0.18)
4-0 @ 2.69% (0.104 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.311 -0.31)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.128 -0.13)
5-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 55.7%
1-1 @ 9.82% (0.625 0.63)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.415 -0.42)
0-0 @ 4.1% (0.742 0.74)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.351 -0.35)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.61%
1-2 @ 5.9% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-1 @ 4.93% (0.495 0.49)
0-2 @ 2.96% (0.035 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.307 -0.31)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.414 -0.41)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 22.68%

How you voted: Feyenoord vs Shakhtar

Feyenoord
77.1%
Draw
8.4%
Shakhtar Donetsk
14.5%
131
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Shakhtar
1-1
Feyenoord
Rakitskiy (79')
Bullaude (88')
Wieffer (70')
Nov 1, 2017 7.45pm
Group F
Shakhtar
3-1
Feyenoord
Ferreyra (14'), Marlos (17', 67')
Khocholava (36')
Jorgensen (12')
Berghuis (49'), El Ahmadi (54')
Oct 17, 2017 7.45pm
Group F
Feyenoord
1-2
Shakhtar
Berghuis (8')
El Ahmadi (66'), Amrabat (87')
Bernard (24', 54')
Rakitskiy (48'), Taison (64'), Kovalenko (77'), Butko (90')
Rakitskiy (75')
rhs 2.0
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