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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 84.53%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 5.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 4-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.73%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (1.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Groningen |
84.53% ( -0.02) | 10.24% ( 0.01) | 5.23% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.5% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.89% ( 0.01) | 26.11% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.65% ( 0.01) | 46.35% ( -0.01) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.68% ( 0) | 4.32% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.1% ( -0) | 17.89% ( 0) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.69% ( 0.04) | 49.31% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.82% ( 0.03) | 84.17% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Groningen |
3-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.79% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0) 4-1 @ 6.12% ( 0) 5-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.84% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.85% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 6-1 @ 2.01% 5-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) 7-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.74% Total : 84.52% | 1-1 @ 4.73% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 10.24% | 1-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 5.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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