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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 85.96%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 4.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 4-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.47%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (1.45%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
85.96% ( -0.09) | 9.55% ( 0.07) | 4.49% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 45.68% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.59% ( -0.24) | 26.4% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.27% ( -0.3) | 46.73% ( 0.3) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.85% ( -0.06) | 4.15% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.65% ( -0.17) | 17.35% ( 0.17) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.66% ( -0.09) | 52.34% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.77% ( -0.06) | 86.22% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
3-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.55% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 7-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.56% Total : 85.95% | 1-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.3% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.6% Total : 9.55% | 1-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.64% Total : 4.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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