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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 74.05%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 10.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 3-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
74.05% ( 0.22) | 15.41% ( -0.1) | 10.53% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 54.45% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.64% ( 0.15) | 32.36% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.02% ( 0.17) | 53.98% ( -0.17) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.55% ( 0.08) | 7.44% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.22% ( 0.2) | 26.78% ( -0.2) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.83% ( -0.1) | 41.17% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.3% ( -0.09) | 77.7% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.52% Total : 74.05% | 1-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.41% | 1-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.34% Total : 10.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |