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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.53%) and 0-1 (4.95%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
33.82% ( 0.3) | 21.45% ( -0.08) | 44.73% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 70.59% ( 0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.27% ( 0.54) | 28.72% ( -0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.36% ( 0.66) | 49.64% ( -0.66) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.88% ( 0.4) | 18.12% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.92% ( 0.67) | 49.07% ( -0.67) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.21% ( 0.14) | 13.79% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.89% ( 0.27) | 41.11% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.78% Total : 33.82% | 1-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.65% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 4.73% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.97% Total : 44.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |