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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 81.84%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 6.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.39%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.69%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
81.84% ( 0.15) | 12.03% ( -0.04) | 6.12% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 46.07% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.16% ( -0.31) | 31.83% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.63% ( -0.36) | 53.37% ( 0.36) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.16% ( -0.03) | 5.83% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.59% ( -0.1) | 22.41% ( 0.09) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.93% ( -0.57) | 51.07% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.61% ( -0.39) | 85.39% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.92% Total : 81.83% | 1-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.65% Total : 12.03% | 0-1 @ 2% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.21% Total : 6.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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