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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Feyenoord |
28.58% ( 0.64) | 22.86% ( 0.31) | 48.56% ( -0.94) |
Both teams to score 62.17% ( -0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.5% ( -1.01) | 38.5% ( 1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.2% ( -1.08) | 60.8% ( 1.08) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.15% ( -0.09) | 25.85% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.18% ( -0.13) | 60.82% ( 0.13) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.84% ( -0.71) | 16.16% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.39% ( -1.31) | 45.61% ( 1.31) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.58% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 6.94% 1-3 @ 5.7% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.1) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.62% Total : 48.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |