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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 64.92%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 17.71% and a draw had a probability of 17.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (4.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
17.71% ( 0.73) | 17.37% ( 0.3) | 64.92% ( -1.03) |
Both teams to score 68.18% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.35% ( -0.14) | 24.65% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.54% ( -0.19) | 44.45% ( 0.19) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.58% ( 0.61) | 26.42% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.41% ( 0.81) | 61.58% ( -0.81) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.66% ( -0.24) | 7.34% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.5% ( -0.61) | 26.5% ( 0.61) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.07) Other @ 4.34% Total : 17.71% | 1-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.57% Total : 17.37% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 7.67% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 5.76% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 5.01% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 3.76% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 2.62% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 1.97% ( -0.11) 2-5 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 1-6 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.88% Total : 64.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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