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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.26%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 18.84% and a draw had a probability of 17.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (4.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | FC Twente |
63.26% ( 0.03) | 17.89% ( -0.01) | 18.84% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 68.35% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.67% ( -0.01) | 25.33% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.65% ( -0.01) | 45.34% ( 0.01) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.15% ( 0) | 7.85% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.18% ( 0.01) | 27.81% ( -0.01) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.17% ( -0.02) | 25.83% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.21% ( -0.03) | 60.79% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.54% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 5.1% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.8% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.54% ( 0) 4-2 @ 3.25% 5-1 @ 2.44% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.8% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.65% 4-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 4.46% Total : 63.26% | 1-1 @ 6.98% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.57% Total : 17.89% | 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.75% Total : 18.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |