Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 72.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 10.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.98%) and 3-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win it was 0-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.