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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Coventry City

Norwich
3 - 0
Coventry

Pukki (14'), Sargent (45+1'), Dowell (81')
Byram (45')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Norwich City 2-0 Coventry City

Given the difference in quality and form between the two sides, it is difficult to envisage the Sky Blues leaving Carrow Road with a positive result on Saturday. The Canaries have quickly built momentum and found ways to win in their last two tight affairs, but we would not be surprised to see a slightly more comfortable victory on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawCoventry City
40.7% (0.837 0.84) 24.9% (-0.762 -0.76) 34.4% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 57.77% (2.624 2.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.5% (3.4 3.4)45.5% (-3.397 -3.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.17% (3.162 3.16)67.83% (-3.16 -3.16)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (1.921 1.92)22.29% (-1.92 -1.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25% (2.804 2.8)55.75% (-2.8 -2.8)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34% (1.578 1.58)25.66% (-1.576 -1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44% (2.098 2.1)60.56% (-2.096 -2.1)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 40.7%
    Coventry City 34.4%
    Draw 24.89%
Norwich CityDrawCoventry City
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.138 0.14)
1-0 @ 8.59% (-0.767 -0.77)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.306 0.31)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.33 0.33)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.199 0.2)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.097 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.179 0.18)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 40.7%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.351 0.35)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.874 -0.87)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.202 0.2)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.89%
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.796 -0.8)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.172 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.27 0.27)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.109 0.11)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.4%

How you voted: Norwich vs Coventry

Norwich City
86.3%
Draw
6.8%
Coventry City
6.8%
73
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Coventry
0-2
Norwich

Da Costa (4')
Pukki (28'), Buendia (45+1')
Hanley (17'), Gibson (70'), Cantwell (84')
Jan 9, 2021 12pm
Norwich
2-0
Coventry
McLean (6'), Hugill (7')
McLean (53'), Cantwell (66'), Hanley (87')

Hamer (63')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Norwich
1-1
Coventry
Vrancic (27' pen.)
Sorensen (55'), McAlear (90+2'), Aarons (90+2')
Biamou (89')
Aug 23, 2016 7.45pm
Norwich
6-1
Coventry
Lafferty (25'), Canos (36', 80'), Martin (58'), Murphy (63'), Godfrey (86')
Thompson (42')
Lameiras (56' pen.)
Jul 26, 2016 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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