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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 16, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
Hoffenheim logo

RB Leipzig
3 - 1
Hoffenheim

Klostermann (34'), Forsberg (70'), Simakan (74')
Haidara (40'), Simons (62'), Klostermann (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kabak (42')
Kabak (62'), Grillitsch (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Young Boys
Wednesday, December 13 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Hoffenheim

A refreshed Leipzig outfit will be confident of extending their winning run this weekend against a depleted Hoffenheim side, who have struggled in their recent meetings with Die Roten Bullen. The attacking prowess of Leipzig has somewhat papered over the cracks of their defensive frailties of late, and we can envisage their frontline outscoring Hoffenheim once again en route to claiming maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 16.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 3-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawHoffenheim
64.51% (0.0019999999999953 0) 18.56% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 16.92% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.45% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.77% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)32.22% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.18% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)53.82% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.52% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)9.47% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)31.79% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.88% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)32.11% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.41% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)68.59% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 64.51%
    Hoffenheim 16.92%
    Draw 18.56%
RB LeipzigDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.0029999999999983 0)
3-1 @ 7.54%
1-0 @ 7.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.91%
4-2 @ 2.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.09%
5-0 @ 1.84%
5-2 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 64.51%
1-1 @ 8.14% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 18.56%
1-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 3.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.96%
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 16.92%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim

RB Leipzig
88.7%
Draw
7.5%
Hoffenheim
3.8%
53
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 2.30pm
Feb 1, 2023 5pm
Round of 16
RB Leipzig
3-1
Hoffenheim
Forsberg (8'), Laimer (41'), Werner (83')
Dolberg (76')
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Hoffenheim
1-3
RB Leipzig
Rutter (50')
Nkunku (17', 57'), Olmo (69')
Apr 10, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 29
RB Leipzig
3-0
Hoffenheim
Nkunku (5'), Halstenberg (20'), Szoboszlai (44')
Mukiele (76')

Kaderabek (71'), Richards (77')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Hoffenheim
2-0
RB Leipzig
Samassekou (12'), Dabour (68')
Grillitsch (42'), Nordtveit (90+3')

Silva (35'), Angelino (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Auger-Aliassime
Rublev
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Werder Bremen32108144352-938
11Heidenheim31910124452-837
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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