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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.06%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
49.32% ( 0.07) | 21.46% ( -0.02) | 29.21% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 67.93% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.84% ( 0.05) | 31.16% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.42% ( 0.05) | 52.57% ( -0.05) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.79% ( 0.04) | 13.21% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.05% ( 0.08) | 39.95% ( -0.08) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.27% ( -0.01) | 21.73% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.1% ( -0.01) | 54.9% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 49.32% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.46% | 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.33% 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 29.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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