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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Almere City win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Almere City |
41.47% ( -0.17) | 25.2% ( 0.09) | 33.33% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 56.45% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.91% ( -0.39) | 47.09% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.67% ( -0.36) | 69.33% ( 0.36) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.39% ( -0.25) | 22.61% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.77% ( -0.37) | 56.22% ( 0.37) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.94% ( -0.14) | 27.06% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.57% ( -0.19) | 62.43% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Almere City |
1-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 41.47% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 8% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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