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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Almere City |
50.17% ( -1.34) | 23.12% ( 0.37) | 26.71% ( 0.96) |
Both teams to score 59.66% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.88% ( -0.92) | 41.12% ( 0.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.48% ( -0.94) | 63.51% ( 0.94) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.45% ( -0.81) | 16.55% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.68% ( -1.48) | 46.32% ( 1.48) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.49% ( 0.23) | 28.51% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.71% ( 0.29) | 64.29% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Almere City |
2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.36% Total : 50.17% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.52% Total : 26.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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