MX23RW : Monday, May 13 12:43:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Goffertstadion
Heracles Almelo

Nijmegen
3 - 1
Heracles

Ogawa (51' pen., 59'), Chery (66')
Meijer (0'), Sow (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hornkamp (3')
Sonnenberg (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 Nijmegen
Sunday, January 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Heracles

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-4 Ajax
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 3-1 Heracles

 Heracles have conceded the most goals of any Eredivisie team this season, and we can see them enduring another defensive collapse here en route to a disappointing defeat in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for NEC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for NEC.

Result
NECDrawHeracles
50.87% (1.332 1.33) 21.83% (-0.365 -0.37) 27.29% (-0.974 -0.97)
Both teams to score 64.9% (0.512 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.54% (1.02 1.02)34.46% (-1.025 -1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.61% (1.137 1.14)56.38% (-1.141 -1.14)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.1% (0.803 0.8)13.89% (-0.808 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.68% (1.564 1.56)41.32% (-1.569 -1.57)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)24.62% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86% (-0.155 -0.16)59.13% (0.15 0.15)
Score Analysis
    NEC 50.87%
    Heracles 27.29%
    Draw 21.83%
NECDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.75% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.193 0.19)
3-0 @ 4.38% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 4.31% (0.122 0.12)
4-1 @ 3.03% (0.178 0.18)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.134 0.13)
4-2 @ 2.12% (0.119 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.102 0.1)
4-3 @ 0.99% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 50.87%
1-1 @ 9.46% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 6.54% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 3.42% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-3 @ 2.01% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-1 @ 4.8% (-0.272 -0.27)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.202 -0.2)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.29%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Heracles

NEC
86.4%
Draw
9.1%
Heracles
4.5%
22
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 2
Heracles
2-1
Nijmegen
Hansson (61'), Ouahim (74')
Bruns (32'), Engels (90+6')
Ogawa (24')
Baas (28'), Marques (90+6')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 17
Nijmegen
0-0
Heracles
Tavsan (45+1')
Quagliata (81'), Knoester (85')
> Preview
Aug 29, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 3
Heracles
0-1
Nijmegen

Bakis (27'), de la Torre (76'), Fadiga (77'), Blaswich (77'), Knoester (87')
Bakis (41')
Akman (50')
Marquez Alvarez (41'), Okita (90+1')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2017 3.45pm
Nijmegen
3-1
Heracles
Von Haacke (27', 33'), Golla (69')
Fomitschow (14')
Armenteros (14')
Kuwas (43')
Dec 2, 2016 7pm
Heracles
2-0
Nijmegen
Duarte (37'), Armenteros (83')
Bruns (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445
> Eredivisie Full Table


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