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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 59.86%. A win for NEC had a probability of 21.02% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (5.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | NEC |
59.86% ( -0.94) | 19.13% ( 0.37) | 21.02% ( 0.57) |
Both teams to score 67.34% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.89% ( -0.98) | 28.11% ( 0.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.12% ( -1.23) | 48.88% ( 1.23) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.62% ( -0.5) | 9.38% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.43% ( -1.2) | 31.57% ( 1.2) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.31% ( -0.12) | 25.7% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.39% ( -0.17) | 60.61% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.09) 4-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.2% Total : 59.86% | 1-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.51% Total : 19.13% | 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.08% Total : 21.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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