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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Twente |
25.69% ( -0.27) | 22.8% ( -0.16) | 51.51% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 59.79% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.49% ( 0.54) | 40.51% ( -0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.11% ( 0.55) | 62.89% ( -0.54) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.05% ( 0.08) | 28.95% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.17% ( 0.1) | 64.84% ( -0.1) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.15% ( 0.35) | 15.85% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.96% ( 0.63) | 45.04% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.37% Total : 25.69% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.93% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.73% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.62% Total : 51.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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