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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
46.7% ( 0.2) | 23.08% ( 0.03) | 30.22% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 62.52% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.48% ( -0.26) | 38.52% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.18% ( -0.27) | 60.81% ( 0.27) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.15% ( -0.02) | 16.85% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.14% ( -0.04) | 46.86% ( 0.04) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.19% ( -0.27) | 24.8% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.61% ( -0.38) | 59.38% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.25% Total : 46.7% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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