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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
47.72% ( -1.1) | 24.21% ( 0.09) | 28.07% ( 1.01) |
Both teams to score 57.03% ( 0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.9% ( 0.29) | 45.09% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.56% ( 0.28) | 67.44% ( -0.28) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.99% ( -0.33) | 19.01% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.43% ( -0.55) | 50.57% ( 0.55) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.42% ( 0.9) | 29.57% ( -0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.39% ( 1.08) | 65.6% ( -1.08) |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 47.72% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.28% Total : 28.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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