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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Heracles in this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heracles |
32.18% ( -3.18) | 23.75% ( -0.02) | 44.06% ( 3.19) |
Both teams to score 61.1% ( -0.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.18% ( -0.86) | 40.81% ( 0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.79% ( -0.88) | 63.2% ( 0.87) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.26% ( -2.2) | 24.73% ( 2.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.71% ( -3.17) | 59.28% ( 3.16) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.18% ( 1.03) | 18.81% ( -1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.75% ( 1.7) | 50.24% ( -1.71) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heracles |
2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.44) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.46) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.35) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.18% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.36) 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.54) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.64) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.36) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.46) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.21) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.24) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.43% Total : 44.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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