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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Leipzig logo

Wolfsburg
2 - 1
RB Leipzig

Wind (9'), Rogerio (66')
Svanberg (35'), Zesiger (45+4'), Lacroix (59'), Casteels (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Poulsen (52')
Openda (33'), Rose (34'), Simons (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg
Sunday, November 12 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-2 RB Leipzig

Wolfsburg's league form dropped off a cliff prior to the international break, so Kovac will be hoping that the timing of it has worked in his side's favour. They will take some confidence from beating Leipzig in the DFB-Pokal last month. However, Die Roten Bullen have become a consistent outfit under Rose, with Openda only one goal from moving into double figures in the Bundesliga. We expect the visitors to have a little bit too much firepower in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.31%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
WolfsburgDrawRB Leipzig
23.72% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 21.97%54.31% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)38.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.86% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)29.45% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.55% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)65.45% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.77% (0.0020000000000095 0)14.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.03% (0.00099999999999767 0)41.97% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 23.72%
    RB Leipzig 54.31%
    Draw 21.97%
WolfsburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 5.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 23.72%
1-1 @ 9.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.97%
1-2 @ 9.74%
0-1 @ 8.17% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 6.33%
0-3 @ 5.18% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.87%
1-4 @ 3.09%
0-4 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.89%
1-5 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 54.31%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig

Wolfsburg
15.4%
Draw
15.4%
RB Leipzig
69.2%
39
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2023 5pm
Second Round
Wolfsburg
1-0
RB Leipzig
Cerny (14')
Lacroix (43'), Vranckx (52'), Kovac (63'), Baku (70'), Pervan (82'), Paredes (84')

Poulsen (42'), Schlager (45+2'), Lukeba (64'), Simakan (90+7')
Poulsen (56')
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Wolfsburg
0-3
RB Leipzig
Forsberg (14'), Laimer (85'), Szoboszlai (90+2')
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
RB Leipzig
2-0
Wolfsburg
Nkunku (5' pen., 90')
Henrichs (8'), Laimer (47'), Werner (88')

Arnold (26'), Otavio (51'), Baku (53')
Jan 23, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
RB Leipzig
2-0
Wolfsburg
Orban (76'), Gvardiol (84')
Simakan (34'), Henrichs (37'), Kampl (67'), Olmo (73'), Adams (82')

Lacroix (59')
Aug 29, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
Wolfsburg
1-0
RB Leipzig
Roussillon (52')
Steffen (35'), Schlager (65'), Guilavogui (70'), Roussillon (89')

Gvardiol (26'), Adams (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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