MX23RW : Monday, April 29 18:15:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Wolfsburg

Augsburg
3 - 2
Wolfsburg

Tietz (17'), Bornauw (79' og.), Engels (81')
Gouweleeuw (45+5'), Pedersen (45+5'), Rexhbecaj (73'), Uduokhai (84'), Beljo (85')
Uduokhai (87')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Wind (35'), Majer (45' pen.)
Maehle (6'), Tomas (66'), Arnold (73'), Bornauw (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 2-5 Augsburg
Sunday, October 22 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 1-1 Wolfsburg

Augsburg's comeback against Heidenheim last weekend is likely to have provided them with renewed confidence after making a slow start under Thorup, but injuries continue to plague them. As such, we would be surprised if Wolfsburg fall to a third successive defeat, but they may have to settle for a well-earned point on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawWolfsburg
39.43% (-1.101 -1.1) 23.92% (-0.115 -0.12) 36.65% (1.216 1.22)
Both teams to score 61.74% (0.615 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.5% (0.728 0.73)40.5% (-0.727 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.12% (0.744 0.74)62.88% (-0.743 -0.74)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (-0.203 -0.2)20.74% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.64% (-0.318 -0.32)53.36% (0.319 0.32)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.89% (0.974 0.97)22.11% (-0.972 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.52% (1.447 1.45)55.48% (-1.446 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 39.43%
    Wolfsburg 36.65%
    Draw 23.91%
AugsburgDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-0 @ 7.21% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-0 @ 5.67% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 39.43%
1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.46% (0.079 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.15 0.15)
0-1 @ 6.92% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.22% (0.127 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.13% (0.191 0.19)
2-3 @ 3.25% (0.131 0.13)
0-3 @ 2.63% (0.137 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.114 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.083 0.08)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 36.65%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Wolfsburg

Augsburg
25.7%
Draw
37.1%
Wolfsburg
37.1%
35
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Wolfsburg
2-2
Augsburg
Waldschmidt (83'), Nmecha (90+6')
Arnold (2' og.), Berisha (32')
Oct 8, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 3, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Augsburg
3-0
Wolfsburg
Iago (1'), Niederlechner (63'), Pedersen (69')
Dorsch (3')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Wolfsburg
1-0
Augsburg
Nmecha (14')
Guilavogui (86'), Nmecha (90+2')

Strobl (39'), Oxford (87'), Pedersen (90+4')
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Augsburg
0-2
Wolfsburg

Benes (40'), Gumny (52')
Weghorst (38'), Baku (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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