Home > Football > Bundesliga
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | FC Koln | 34 | 3 | 52 |
8 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 5 | 46 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 34 | -2 | 46 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 60 | 77 |
2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 33 | 69 |
3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
29.06% | 23.99% | 46.95% |
Both teams to score 58.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.54% | 43.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.14% | 65.85% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.96% | 28.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.3% | 63.69% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.32% | 18.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.99% | 50.01% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 7.1% 1-0 @ 6.66% 2-0 @ 4.23% 3-1 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.77% Total : 29.06% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 9.37% 0-1 @ 8.79% 0-2 @ 7.37% 1-3 @ 5.24% 0-3 @ 4.12% 2-3 @ 3.33% 1-4 @ 2.2% 0-4 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.39% Total : 46.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |