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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 16, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Wolfsburg

Dortmund
6 - 1
Wolfsburg

Rothe (24'), Witsel (26'), Akanji (28'), Can (35'), Braut Haaland (38', 54')
FT(HT: 5-0)
Baku (81')
Baku (33'), Gerhardt (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: 1860 Munich vs. Dortmund
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Wolfsburg

Last Six:
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Carl Zeiss vs. Wolfsburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Wolfsburg

 Dortmund have been far from their best for a couple of months now, with their performances being unconvincing and Haaland struggling to get back amongst the goals following his return from injury. However, BVB should have enough in them to see off a Wolfsburg side that remain poor despite a comprehensive result last time out, albeit against a far lower calibre of opposition to whom they will be facing on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 71.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 11.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawWolfsburg
71.97%16.22%11.81%
Both teams to score 56.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.38%32.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.71%54.28%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.06%7.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.96%28.03%
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.83%39.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.12%75.88%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 71.97%
    Wolfsburg 11.81%
    Draw 16.22%
Borussia DortmundDrawWolfsburg
2-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 9.35%
3-0 @ 8.43%
3-1 @ 7.9%
1-0 @ 7.87%
4-0 @ 5.34%
4-1 @ 5.01%
3-2 @ 3.7%
5-0 @ 2.71%
5-1 @ 2.54%
4-2 @ 2.35%
5-2 @ 1.19%
6-0 @ 1.14%
6-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 71.97%
1-1 @ 7.38%
2-2 @ 4.38%
0-0 @ 3.11%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 16.22%
1-2 @ 3.46%
0-1 @ 2.91%
2-3 @ 1.37%
0-2 @ 1.37%
1-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 11.81%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Wolfsburg

Borussia Dortmund
85.9%
Draw
11.8%
Wolfsburg
2.4%
85
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2021 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
1-3
Dortmund
Weghorst (2')
Lukebakio (25'), Lacroix (32'), Nmecha (37'), Arnold (42')
Can (35' pen.), Malen (55'), Braut Haaland (81')
Wolf (60')
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
0-2
Dortmund

Otavio (72')
Braut Haaland (12', 68')
Bellingham (13'), Meunier (88')
Bellingham (59')
Jan 3, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-0
Wolfsburg
Akanji (66'), Sancho (90+1')
Hummels (25'), Delaney (40'), Braut Haaland (80')

Steffen (38')
May 23, 2020 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
0-2
Dortmund
Nov 2, 2019 2.30pm
Dortmund
3-0
Wolfsburg
Hazard (52'), Guerreiro (58'), Gotze (88' pen.)
Weigl (44')

Nmecha (40'), Brooks (45'), Tisserand (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617
> Bundesliga Full Table


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