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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Wolfsburg

Freiburg
3 - 2
Wolfsburg

Grifo (7', 44'), Schlotterbeck (87')
Schlotterbeck (55'), Haberer (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kruse (52'), Arnold (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Next Game: Kaiserslautern vs. Freiburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Carl Zeiss vs. Wolfsburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Wolfsburg

This clash is likely to be a very tight affair overall, with little to separate these two sides despite their differing fortunes this campaign. With Freiburg returning home and possessing the greater consistency this season, we believe they will edge out their visitors with a narrow victory on Saturday should they maintain their high standards of 2021-22. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawWolfsburg
58.2%21.92%19.87%
Both teams to score 55.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.77%43.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.37%65.62%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.43%14.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.38%42.62%
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41%35.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.64%72.36%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 58.2%
    Wolfsburg 19.87%
    Draw 21.92%
FreiburgDrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 9.99%
2-1 @ 9.94%
2-0 @ 9.62%
3-1 @ 6.38%
3-0 @ 6.18%
3-2 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 3.08%
4-0 @ 2.98%
4-2 @ 1.59%
5-1 @ 1.19%
5-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 58.2%
1-1 @ 10.31%
0-0 @ 5.18%
2-2 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.92%
0-1 @ 5.35%
1-2 @ 5.33%
0-2 @ 2.77%
1-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 19.87%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Wolfsburg

Freiburg
79.5%
Draw
9.1%
Wolfsburg
11.4%
44
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 31, 2021 5pm
Sep 27, 2020 5pm
Jun 13, 2020 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-2
Freiburg
Weghorst (14', 27' pen.)
Holer (43'), Sallai (46')
Hofler (23')
Dec 7, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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