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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 16, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Stuttgart

Mainz 05
0 - 0
Stuttgart

FT

Matarazzo (45+2'), Stenzel (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

Last Six:
Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Stuttgart

Last Six:
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Dynamo Dresden vs. Stuttgart
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Stuttgart

 Stuttgart certainly have more to play for in this game and will be desperate for three points to increase their lead over the bottom three, but they face a tough test. Given the absences they are dealing with, we opt for a draw on Saturday, with Mainz also likely seeing the meeting as a good opportunity to add to their points tally. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
52.82%24.53%22.64%
Both teams to score 50.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07%50.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19%72.8%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76%19.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.05%50.95%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.77%37.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99%74.01%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 52.82%
    Stuttgart 22.65%
    Draw 24.53%
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
1-0 @ 11.8%
2-0 @ 9.73%
2-1 @ 9.61%
3-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 5.28%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-0 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 52.82%
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 7.16%
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 7.08%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 3.5%
1-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 22.65%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart

Mainz 05
82.8%
Draw
13.8%
Stuttgart
3.4%
29
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2021 7.30pm
Stuttgart
2-1
Mainz 05
Ito (21'), Sosa (51')
Mangala (36'), Sosa (90+2')
Hack (39')
Caricol (9'), Boetius (90+5')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2021 7.30pm
Stuttgart
2-0
Mainz 05
Kalajdzic (55'), Wamangituka (72')
Forster (33')

Niakhate (21'), Bell (43'), Onisiwo (45+1'), Svensson (54'), Kohr (81')
Sep 26, 2020 2.30pm
Mainz 05
1-4
Stuttgart
Quaison (13')
Niakhate (37')
Niakhate (77')
Wamangituka (45'), Didavi (61'), Klimowicz (80'), Kalajdzic (86')
Stenzel (52'), Mangala (69'), Castro (74')
Stenzel (90+1')
Jan 19, 2019 2.30pm
Stuttgart
2-3
Mainz 05
Gonzalez (83'), Kempf (85')
Kempf (20'), Ascacibar (89')
Ascacibar (22' og.), Mateta (28'), Hack (72')
Brosinski (84'), Holtmann (90')
Aug 26, 2018 2.30pm
Mainz 05
1-0
Stuttgart
Ujah (76')
Holtmann (63')

Ascacibar (79'), Sosa (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217
> Bundesliga Full Table


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