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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Arminia Bielefeld logos

Mainz 05
4 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld

Burkardt (1', 75' pen.), Niakhate (65' pen.), Ingvartsen (79' pen.)
Kohr (10')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Arminia Bielefeld, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

Last Six:
Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Arminia Bielefeld

Last Six:
Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Engers vs. Arminia Bielefeld
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Mainz 05 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld

 While they have hit a recent dip in form, we see the hosts being too strong for their visitors on Saturday and expect them to return to winning ways against a side devoid of confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 14.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawArminia Bielefeld
63.81%21.76%14.43%
Both teams to score 44.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52%51.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.71%73.29%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.49%15.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.59%44.42%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.8%47.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.36%82.64%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 63.8%
    Arminia Bielefeld 14.43%
    Draw 21.75%
Mainz 05DrawArminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 13.64%
2-0 @ 12.71%
2-1 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 7.9%
3-1 @ 5.93%
4-0 @ 3.68%
4-1 @ 2.76%
3-2 @ 2.23%
5-0 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.04%
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 63.8%
1-1 @ 10.24%
0-0 @ 7.32%
2-2 @ 3.58%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.75%
0-1 @ 5.5%
1-2 @ 3.85%
0-2 @ 2.06%
1-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 14.43%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Arminia Bielefeld

Mainz 05
79.3%
Draw
10.3%
Arminia Bielefeld
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Arminia Bielefeld
1-2
Mainz 05
Laursen (42')
Andrade (52'), Prietl (70')
Jae-sung (25'), Burkardt (69')
Kohr (58'), Hack (77'), Bell (80')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Mainz 05
3-2
Arminia Bielefeld
Burkardt (53'), Onisiwo (59'), Ingvartsen (114')
Svensson (13'), Caricol (83')
Okugawa (2'), Klos (89')
Prietl (20'), Schopf (38'), Pieper (48'), Ramos (99')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Mainz 05
1-1
Arminia Bielefeld
Brosinski (56' pen.)
Bell (13'), Latza (73'), Barreiro (80'), Hack (90+4')
Voglsammer (76')
Lucoqui (14')
Dec 5, 2020 2.30pm
Arminia Bielefeld
2-1
Mainz 05
Prietl (21'), Doan (31')
Schipplock (74'), Hartel (85'), Kunze (90+4')
Stoger (82')
Niakhate (49'), St Juste (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617
> Bundesliga Full Table


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