Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 63.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.