Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kortrijk win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kortrijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Leuven win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kortrijk would win this match.