Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.