Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Goteborg win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Goteborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for IFK Goteborg in this match.