Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Perth Glory |
64.76% ( 2.06) | 20.14% ( -0.85) | 15.1% ( -1.21) |
Both teams to score 51.25% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.58% ( 1.46) | 43.42% ( -1.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.18% ( 1.42) | 65.81% ( -1.42) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.35% ( 1.06) | 12.65% ( -1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.2% ( 2.15) | 38.8% ( -2.15) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.67% ( -0.69) | 41.32% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.15% ( -0.62) | 77.84% ( 0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Perth Glory |
2-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.24% Total : 64.75% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.42) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.14% | 0-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.69% Total : 15.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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